44 Percent Below the Record: BNB's 37th Burn Follows in Mid-October

BNB costs around $767 late on Friday evening, 2 October 2026 (according to CoinGecko). On 13 October 2025, so almost exactly a year ago, the coin of the BNB Chain reached its record high of $1,369.99. Since then 44 percent are missing. Around the anniversary of the record the next quarterly burn is due, in which part of the supply is destroyed. For the BNB price prediction the question is therefore whether the burn pulls the price out of its sideways phase.

What the 37th burn does and what it does not

BNB Chain reduces the supply four times a year according to a fixed formula, the auto-burn. The amount depends on the BNB price and on the number of blocks in the quarter, with 100 million BNB as the target. In the 36th burn on 15 July 2026, 1,615,827.8 BNB were destroyed, worth around $932 million at the time. The remaining supply stood at 133.17 million BNB afterwards, as BNB Chain documents on its own blog. On the 90-day rhythm the 37th burn falls in mid-October; BNB Chain has not yet named a date.

For the price the burn is less of an event than the sum suggests. It has been running to plan since 2017, every market participant knows about it in advance, and around 1.2 percent of the supply per quarter works out at a good four percent over a year. That has an effect over time, but rarely on the day itself. What lies behind the BNB Chain’s lead in tokenised assets we described in September.

BNB price prediction: the band in the chart

The one-year chart shows a long road down and a clear recovery from the low. The low of the past twelve months stood at around $546 on a closing basis, and BNB has recovered around 40 percent since then. The price sits above the 50-day average (around $720) and above the 200-day average (around $692), both calculated by us from CoinMarketCap daily closing prices.

Around $807 is the level on the upside, the September high. Ahead of it lies a band of resistance between $781 and $792 that BNB had not yet overcome at the start of October, as Blockchain.News breaks down. Only a close above $807 would end the sideways phase.

Around $746 is the level on the downside, where the same analysis places the stronger support. If it gives way, the 50-day average at around $720 is the next line. The average daily range has lately been just under $24, which is around three percent. BNB therefore swings considerably less than most large altcoins.

Why BNB has been moving sideways for weeks

Since 19 September the daily closing prices have swung between $758 and $799 (CoinMarketCap). Over seven days there is a loss of just under one percent, over 30 days a gain of around 12 percent (CoinGecko). Bitcoin ran similarly quietly over the same period. BNB is thus following the overall market and currently has no momentum of its own strong enough to break out of the band.

BNB versus Bitcoin: the distance to the record

The comparison with Bitcoin is notable. Both coins reached their records in October 2025, and both stand clearly below them today. A year’s distance from the record is therefore no special case for BNB but part of a movement of the whole market. The difference lies in the burn: with BNB the supply shrinks to plan, with Bitcoin it keeps growing slowly.

Anyone wanting to use BNB needs it above all for fees on the BNB Chain. How BEP20 tokens, BscScan and the fees work in practice is shown by our guide to the BNB Chain. For custody a wallet that supports the BNB Chain is enough; which ones do that well is set out in our comparison of software wallets.

BNB: What to take away

Three points sum up the situation. First: BNB sits in a narrow band between around $746 and $807, and a close outside that band is the next signal. Second: the 37th burn is coming to plan around mid-October; it reduces the supply but is known in advance and therefore hardly a surprise. Third: the distance of 44 percent to the record is large, but a record is not a price target, only a point of orientation.

An assessment of whether an entry at the current price is worthwhile is set out in our analysis Is BNB a Good Buy at Current Prices?. Crypto assets swing sharply and a total loss is possible. This article places price levels and dates in context; it is not a recommendation to buy or sell BNB.

(As of October 2, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)