Shiba Inu price prediction: Kraken counts 260 weeks without a close below $0.000004

Shiba Inu stands at about $0.0000039, or 0.00000354 euros, on Sunday evening, according to Coingecko. That puts SHIB lower than at any weekly close the Kraken exchange has recorded in its data since late November 2021. The current Kraken week ends in the early hours of Thursday at 1 am Central European Time. If it closes below $0.000004, a streak of 260 weeks breaks.

The facts: in Kraken's weekly candles, the lowest close so far was $0.000004234 and the lowest weekly value of all was $0.000004048, both in summer 2026. Our assessment follows further below: a close below this zone would be, for chart analysts, a break that can no longer be explained as a weekend slip.

Our Shiba Inu price prediction sets out where the price could head over the coming months. This article is about the next few days: which levels matter until Wednesday night, what exchange holdings of 86 trillion SHIB have to do with it and what you should keep an eye on before year-end.

Kraken weekly candles: 260 weeks without a close below $0.00000423

A weekly candle sums up seven days of trading in four values: open, high, low and close. Kraken starts its week on Thursday at 00:00 UTC. We analysed the publicly available weekly data for the SHIB/US dollar pair, 260 candles from November 25, 2021, to today.

The result is clear. Not a single completed week ended below $0.000004. The lowest close came in the week from July 9, 2026, at $0.000004234. Before the current week, SHIB's lowest weekly low was in the week from June 25, 2026, at $0.000004048. Both values are now above the price.

The current week opened on Thursday at $0.000004367. Its low so far is $0.000003698, reached on Saturday evening. Measured against the open, SHIB has therefore lost about 11 percent this week, and the price is a good 8 percent away from the lowest weekly close so far.

What the 260 weeks do not prove

Kraken's data only begin in late 2021. In spring 2021, before the big rally, Shiba Inu traded much lower. The claim is therefore not that SHIB has never been cheaper. What is correct is that no week has closed this low since Kraken's data began. For many holders who bought in from 2021 onwards, this very period is their frame of reference.

Since Saturday evening: SHIB recovers from $0.00000375 to $0.0000039

On Saturday we described the slide below $0.000004 in our Shiba Inu price prediction of November 14. At the time SHIB cost about $0.00000375, the daily low on Kraken was $0.000003698, and we named $0.000004 as the first level on the upside and that low as the level on the downside.

Since then the picture has shifted only slightly. Saturday's low held: on Sunday SHIB fell on Kraken to $0.000003707, just above it. On the upside the price reached $0.000003969 but failed at the round $0.000004 mark. On Sunday evening it is up about 4 percent on Saturday evening.

Volume has stayed high. On Saturday, 146.3 billion SHIB changed hands on Kraken, and on Sunday a further 100.6 billion by the evening. The current week totals 418 billion SHIB, after 487 billion in the whole previous week. That is a lot for a Sunday. Sellers and buyers are both present; demand just has not yet been enough to reclaim the level.

Weekly close explained: why the week's closing price counts for more than a daily low

A weekly close is the last traded price of an exchange's calendar week. Chart analysts weight it more heavily than a daily low because it shows where buyers and sellers agreed after seven days of trading. A short weekend sell-off in which leveraged positions are forcibly closed pushes the low down but often changes little about the close.

That is exactly why the current week is interesting. Saturday's low alone could still be explained as a liquidation wave: the whole crypto market lost significantly, and according to Coingecko Bitcoin briefly fell to around $62,000 overnight into Sunday. But if SHIB stays below $0.000004 until Wednesday night, the outlier becomes a closing price, and that feeds into every weekly analysis in the months ahead.

It also matters which exchange you look at. Many charting services close the week on Sunday at midnight UTC, that is, tonight at 1 am Central European Time. On that count the decision comes earlier. The Kraken week, by contrast, runs until Wednesday. Anyone comparing two charts therefore sees different candles, even though the price is the same.

200-day line: SHIB trades almost 23 percent below the average

The 200-day line is the average of the closing prices of the last 200 days. It is regarded as a rough gauge of the long-term trend. Coingecko's daily data give Shiba Inu a value of about $0.00000506. The price is therefore almost 23 percent below it. The 50-day line runs at about $0.00000501, just below the 200-day line.

This crossover, in which the short average falls below the long one, is called a death cross. The signal appeared for SHIB on November 14 for the first time since September 2025; the details are in our article on the death cross. For the outlook, the position of both lines matters more than the signal itself: both are about $0.0000011 above the price. To reach them, the coin would have to rise almost 30 percent.

For comparison over time: on January 1, 2026, SHIB cost about $0.00000692 according to Coingecko, and a year ago about $0.00000905. The high of the past twelve months was around $0.00000925 on January 6. The price is now about 95 percent below the record high of $0.00008616 from October 2021. With a market value of about $2.3 billion, SHIB ranks 38th among the largest cryptocurrencies.

Exchange holdings according to CryptoQuant: 86 trillion SHIB worth about $332 million

A second angle besides the chart is the amount held on trading venues. According to data from the analytics firm CryptoQuant, analysed on Sunday by the specialist portal U.Today, about 86 trillion SHIB sit on centralised exchanges. Their value was most recently $331.96 million, 6.81 percent less than the day before.

Where the decline comes from is notable. The number of tokens on exchanges fell by only 0.05 percent, with net outflows of about 45.9 billion SHIB in 24 hours. The loss in value is therefore almost entirely a price effect. If SHIB fell to about $0.0000035, exchange holdings would arithmetically drop below $300 million; that is about 10 percent below Sunday evening.

What high exchange holdings mean for the price

Tokens on an exchange can be sold with a few clicks. A large balance there is therefore a reservoir of potential supply. It will not necessarily be sold, but it dampens recoveries, because holders who bought at higher prices can exit on every rise. Slight outflows like Sunday's show that some holders prefer to move their coins to their own wallets. At 0.05 percent, no trend can yet be read from this.

Shiba Inu price prediction to Wednesday night: two scenarios with levels

The levels for the coming days follow from the Kraken data. On the upside, the round $0.000004 threshold, where SHIB failed on Sunday, counts first. Above that comes the old weekly low from June at $0.000004048 and then the lowest weekly close at $0.000004234. On the downside, Saturday's low at $0.000003698 is the first level, and below it the zone around $0.0000035, where exchange holdings would fall below $300 million.

Friendlier case: a close above $0.000004048

If SHIB rises above $0.000004048 by Wednesday night and closes the week there, the weekend break would be reversed. The 260-week streak would remain intact, and Saturday's low would form a double bottom with Sunday's low. The precondition is that Bitcoin stabilises. Over 30 days SHIB lost 23.3 percent according to Coingecko, Bitcoin 20.8 percent; there is no sign yet of an independent recovery in the memecoin.

Weaker case: a close below $0.000004

If the week ends below $0.000004, the lowest close since Kraken's data began is set. There are then no reference points from the coin's own trading on the downside, and the next level would be Saturday's low of $0.000003698. If that also gives way, the zone around $0.0000035 comes into view, a good 10 percent below Sunday evening.

Our assessment: the weaker case is more likely through Wednesday. Three documented points argue for it: the gap of almost 23 percent to the 200-day line, the failed attempt above $0.000004 on Sunday and exchange holdings of 86 trillion SHIB that are barely shrinking. Against it: Saturday's low held on Sunday and volume remains high, which points to buyers in this area. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell; with a memecoin a total loss remains possible.

Leverage and liquidation: where leveraged SHIB positions now tip over

If you trade SHIB with leverage, you should know the distances. A long position with 10x leverage opened at $0.0000039 loses its entire margin after a decline of about 10 percent. Because exchanges require a minimum margin, liquidation in practice kicks in a little earlier, above $0.0000035. That is exactly the zone that would be reached in the weaker scenario.

Saturday showed how quickly this can happen: the price fell within a few hours from about $0.00000392 to $0.0000037. If you are invested with leverage, check your liquidation price in your exchange account before the weekly close and compare it with the levels above.

Custody: exchange account or hardware wallet

For investors, the slide is also a question of custody. Since the German transitional period expired at the end of 2025, crypto service providers serving customers there need authorisation under the EU's MiCA regulation. If you want to buy or add SHIB, you will find providers' fees and licences in our crypto exchange comparison. If you do not want to leave your coins on the exchange, move them to your own wallet; a hardware wallet keeps the keys offline.

Anyone who bought SHIB within the past twelve months is almost always in the red at today's prices: a year ago the coin cost about $0.00000905, at the start of the year $0.00000692.

SHIB weekly close: below $0.000004 a 260-week streak breaks

The situation on Sunday evening is clearly defined. Shiba Inu trades below every previous weekly close in Kraken's data, Saturday's low is holding, and the decision falls by Wednesday night. Three steps help you prepare:

1. Check how you buy: If you want to add to your position, choose a provider with a MiCA licence and low fees; the overview is in our exchange comparison.
2. Sort out custody: Move larger SHIB holdings from the exchange to your own wallet; our hardware wallet comparison shows which devices are suitable.
3. Document your positions: Record the purchase date and price of every position so you know where you stand by December 31; the tax tools and portfolio trackers help with this.

(As of November 15, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)