Shiba Inu price prints its first death cross since September 2025

What is confirmed: on the Shiba Inu price chart, the 50-day average fell below the 200-day average on Friday, November 14. Our assessment follows further down: the signal confirms a weakness that is already priced in and says little about how much further the price can fall.

SHIB traded at around $0.00000396 at midday on Sunday, November 15, or roughly €0.0000036, according to CoinGecko market data. It is down 4.8 percent over 24 hours, 11.5 percent over seven days and 23.4 percent over 30 days. The day's range ran from $0.00000371 to $0.00000415. The token is a good 95 percent below its October 2021 record of $0.00008616.

Chart analysts call the crossing of the two lines a death cross. SHIB's last one came in September 2025, a good 14 months ago. We recalculated the crossover ourselves from Kraken's daily closing prices, so the figures here are not second-hand.

Shiba Inu death cross: the 50-day line falls below the 200-day line

A moving average is the mean of closing prices over a fixed number of past days, moving forward by one day each day. The 50-day line tracks the trend of the past two and a half months, the 200-day line that of the past six-plus months. If the short one falls below the long one, the average price of the recent past is below that of the earlier period. Mathematically, the signal says nothing more.

In the daily data for the SHIB-dollar pair on Kraken, the 50-day average closed November 14 at $0.000005053, just below the 200-day average of $0.000005070. On Sunday the gap widened: $0.000005013 against $0.000005059. Friday's daily close was $0.00000383, a good 24 percent below both lines.

Both averages therefore sit almost exactly at $0.000005. Coin Turk, citing CoinGlass data, also names this zone as resistance. Anyone reading the death cross as a warning sees it as the level SHIB would have to reclaim for the signal to lose its meaning.

Golden cross of October 1: the buy signal lasted only 44 days

A look back explains why today's signal reveals little that is new. On October 1, 2026, the 50-day line rose above the 200-day line in the same Kraken data, with both at around $0.0000053. That counterpart is called a golden cross and is regarded as a buy signal. For SHIB it lasted exactly 44 days before the lines crossed again.

For comparison, the previous downward crossover on September 6, 2025 came eleven days after a golden cross on August 26, 2025. Back then both lines stood at around $0.000013, more than two and a half times today's level. Between the two death crosses SHIB has thus lost around 60 percent of its average price, without any golden cross in between genuinely turning the trend.

The upshot for interpretation: for a token that has moved sideways to lower for more than a year, the lines cross often and in quick succession. A single cross then carries less weight than in a market with a clear trend.

SHIB since yesterday: the low at $0.0000037 has held

On Saturday we reported on the fall below $0.000004, the lowest level since spring 2021. A day has passed since then, and three things have changed. Friday's intraday low of $0.000003698 held, and on Sunday the price turned higher at $0.000003707. In the good two years of Kraken data we analysed, that is the lowest daily value.

The $0.000004 mark, on the other hand, remains lost: SHIB traded just below it at midday on Sunday. The July low of $0.00000413, which U.Today described as the last support before the slump, has thus turned into resistance. New is the death cross, which was not yet visible in the daily data on Saturday morning because it only formed with Friday's closing price.

Exchange reserves at 86 trillion SHIB: value slides towards $300 million

A second angle besides the chart is the supply held on trading venues. According to U.Today, citing CryptoQuant data, around 86 trillion SHIB sat on centralised exchanges on Sunday morning. Their value was $331.96 million, 6.81 percent less than the previous day. Counted in tokens, the reserve fell by just 0.05 percent, with net outflows of around 45.9 billion SHIB in 24 hours.

Exchange reserves are the amount of a token held at addresses of trading venues, and therefore available for sale at short notice. A rise is seen as a precursor to selling. A fall suggests holders are moving tokens to their own wallets. For SHIB, the token count has barely moved for days: 86 trillion SHIB were already on exchanges on November 9. What is moving is only the dollar value, and that follows the price.

U.Today calculates that the value would drop below $300 million at a price of around $0.0000035, for the first time in four years. That would be roughly eleven percent below the level at midday on Sunday.

Key SHIB price levels: $0.0000035 below, $0.000005 above

Price, averages and exchange data yield four levels, all measured against the level of around $0.00000396 at midday on Sunday:

• $0.0000037: Friday's low, around 6.6 percent lower. It held once on Sunday.
• $0.0000035: the threshold below which exchange reserves would be worth less than $300 million, around 11.6 percent lower.
• $0.000003: the zone Coin Turk names as the next support, around 24 percent lower.
• $0.00000413 and $0.0000045: on the upside, first the old July low, a good 4 percent higher, then the 20-day average of $0.00000451, just under 14 percent higher.

The real test remains the zone around $0.000005, where both long averages sit. It lies around 26 percent above the price. SHIB would therefore have to gain a good quarter before the death cross would be overtaken from a chart-analysis point of view.

Leverage and liquidations: $1.96 billion in a single day

The slide of recent days did not come from SHIB alone. According to CoinGlass figures cited by Coin Turk, crypto positions worth more than $1.96 billion were forcibly closed in 24 hours. A liquidation occurs when the collateral on a leveraged trade is no longer sufficient and the exchange closes the position automatically. Each such closure is a sale at market price that pushes the price down further.

Bitcoin lost 2.6 percent over the same period and stood at around $65,400 at midday on Sunday; SHIB, at 4.8 percent, lost almost twice as much. On a weekly basis, however, SHIB at minus 11.5 percent is slightly ahead of bitcoin at minus 13.7 percent. In the sell-off the token is therefore not moving against the market but with it, just with bigger swings.

Anyone trading SHIB with leverage takes on high risk with daily ranges like these: on Sunday, intraday high and low were just under twelve percent apart. At fivefold leverage, a move of around 20 percent against the position is enough to use up the collateral. Anyone wanting to use leveraged products will find the terms of regulated providers in our crypto broker comparison.

Nadex and the CFTC: new SHIB event contracts in the US

Away from the price, there was news on the regulatory front. The North American Derivatives Exchange, Nadex for short, which operates as Crypto.com Derivatives North America, has self-certified a strike event contract on SHIB under the rules of the US regulator CFTC, according to the trade outlet Coinpaper. Such a contract is a bet on whether the price meets a certain condition at a fixed point in time. It is settled in cash; SHIB itself does not change hands.

For the price, the news is more of a footnote. Nadex already offers cash-settled SHIB contracts, and similar filings have been made for XRP, Solana, Dogecoin and other tokens. This is not a spot ETF on SHIB.

SHIB death cross as a signal: how reliable the crossover has been

Our assessment: for SHIB, the death cross is a lagging signal, not a harbinger. Our own calculation above supports this. When the lines crossed on November 14, the price was already 24 percent below both, and October's golden cross held nothing for 44 days. A 50-day average can only show a move once it has been running for weeks.

The numbers also argue against a swift recovery. Exchange reserves of 86 trillion SHIB are barely falling in token terms, the overall market lost $1.96 billion of leveraged positions in a day, and the $0.000005 mark sits a quarter above the price. In favour of a rebound: according to U.Today, the relative strength index fell below 30 on November 14, a reading chart analysts interpret as oversold, and Friday's low held on Sunday. We derive no buy recommendation from either side. As with any memecoin, a total loss is possible.

Buying SHIB under MiCA: which providers are authorised

Anyone who wants to buy SHIB or add to a position despite the signal should look closely at the provider. Since the end of the German transitional period on December 30, 2025, crypto service providers serving customers in Germany have needed authorisation under the European MiCA regulation. Fees for buying SHIB differ markedly between platforms, especially the spread, the mark-up between the buy and sell price.

With a token priced in millionths of a dollar, this matters: with a daily range of twelve percent, the trading venue helps determine the price at which an order is actually executed. You will find an overview of regulated platforms and their fees in our crypto exchange comparison.

Shiba Inu price: only above $0.000005 is the cross history

1. Set your levels: note $0.0000037 and $0.0000035 on the downside and $0.000005 on the upside. To buy or sell, use a MiCA-authorised trading venue from the exchange comparison.
2. Limit leverage: with daily ranges of twelve percent, any leverage above two times is a high risk. You will find the brokers' terms in the broker comparison.

(As of November 15, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)