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Is Ethereum a Good Buy at Current Prices?

Ethereum has fallen further than Bitcoin and recovered better of late. What chart structure, the fee mechanism and trading volume say about buying at current prices.

Two crossing planes of light with drifting fragments, illustrating Ethereum value capture
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Ethereum trades at roughly $1,889 on 11 August 2026. That leaves it almost 61 percent below the twelve-month high of $4,818 and about 21 percent above the twelve-month low of $1,566. Over the past 30 days the price is up 4.6 percent.

Ethereum has therefore fallen considerably further than Bitcoin and recovered somewhat better of late. Taken together, that makes the buying decision harder rather than easier. This article sets out what the chart supports, what demand is saying, and the conditions under which an entry at current prices is defensible.

The price data was compiled by cryptoticker.io on 11 August 2026. It is based on daily closing prices for the past 365 days from CoinGecko's public market data interface; moving averages and the relative strength index were calculated from that series using the standard formulas. Anything beyond the data is marked as assessment.

Ethereum price analysis: where does the Ethereum price stand in August 2026?

The 200-day moving average sits at $2,228. The price trades 15.2 percent below it, and the line continues to fall. The dominant trend therefore still points down.

Line chart: Ethereum price over the past 365 days with its 200-day and 50-day averages
Ethereum price and moving averages, calculated by us from CoinGecko daily closing prices

The short-term picture looks friendlier than Bitcoin's. The 50-day moving average stands at $1,863, and the price is 1.4 percent above it. Ethereum has reclaimed that line while Bitcoin still hangs just below its own. That is a modest edge, not a change of trend.

The levels that matter for an entry:

  • Support: $1,566, the twelve-month low from late June, roughly 17 percent below the current price.
  • Next zone: $1,863 at the 50-day average, currently serving as the fallback level.
  • The decisive hurdle: $2,228 at the 200-day average, some 18 percent away.

Over 90 days the price is down 16.4 percent, over twelve months down 55.3 percent. The drawdown is therefore markedly deeper than Bitcoin's 45.8 percent over the same period.

Scale: position of the Ethereum price between its 12-month low and high with both averages
The Ethereum price relative to its 12-month low, high and both moving averages

Is the Ethereum downtrend broken or merely interrupted?

In technical analysis, reclaiming the 50-day average is usually followed by a test of the next line up. That test is still ahead of Ethereum, and it will settle the question.

Reaching the 200-day average requires 18 percent. The market has to cover that distance under its own power, without a structural catalyst visible in the chart. The line itself also keeps falling, because the high prices from autumn 2025 are dropping out of the calculation window. Both effects push the possible crossing point lower and further out in time.

Until then, the same reading applies as for Bitcoin: the recovery since the June low is a counter-move inside an intact downtrend. It has been somewhat stronger for Ethereum, which argues for relative strength, not for a reversal.

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What the RSI says about Ethereum demand

The relative strength index stands at 52.2, slightly above the midline. For the buying decision this implies the same as with Bitcoin: Ethereum is not oversold. The contrarian argument that worked in June at prices around $1,570 no longer exists at this level.

An RSI just above 50 combined with a price just above the 50-day average describes a market without conviction in either direction. Anyone waiting for a technical buy signal is waiting for the RSI to rise above 60 while volume expands. Neither is in place.

What trading volume reveals about the Ethereum price

Average daily volume over the past seven days was roughly $6.6 billion. Measured over 30 days it was $8.3 billion. Volume has therefore fallen by more than 20 percent while the price rose by 4.6 percent.

A recovery on falling volume is technically the weakest kind of recovery. It indicates that the advance stems from fading selling pressure rather than from fresh demand. In our assessment this is the most important caveat against the friendly price action of the past four weeks.

Which structural factors support Ethereum

Ethereum is not a pure store of value but the settlement layer for applications. Two quantities follow from that, and both can be observed independently of the price.

Bar chart: Ethereum circulating supply relative to its maximum issuance
Ethereum supply structure according to CoinMarketCap data

The first is the fee mechanism. Part of every transaction fee is permanently removed from circulation when it is paid. If usage rises, net issuance falls; if usage declines, it rises. Unlike Bitcoin, Ethereum's supply path is therefore tied to actual demand for block space.

The second is the development agenda. The Ethereum Foundation documents the planned upgrade stages publicly in its roadmap, including the respective goals for scaling and data availability. This matters for a buying decision because the network's value rests on whether transactions can be settled there cheaply and reliably.

The honest counterpoint: much of the activity has migrated to downstream networks that use Ethereum as a security anchor while passing considerably fewer fees back to the main chain. If the ecosystem grows without the main chain earning from it, the price does not automatically follow.

What argues in favour of buying Ethereum at current prices

The drawdown of almost 61 percent from the high is the deepest among large crypto assets of comparable market capitalisation. Anyone who assumes the network holds its role is buying a share of it today at a price last seen years ago.

The second point is the relative strength of recent weeks. Ethereum trades above its 50-day average while Bitcoin trades below its own, and over 30 days it shows a gain against a roughly flat result for the market leader. In recovery phases Ethereum has historically outrun Bitcoin, because it carries the higher beta.

The third point is the definable support at $1,566. It sits about 17 percent below the current price and makes downside risk plannable. How longer-term scenarios follow from this, with the weightings disclosed, is set out in our Ethereum price prediction.

What argues against buying Ethereum at current prices

Higher beta cuts both ways. If Bitcoin breaks below its June low, Ethereum has typically fallen further. The distance to its own support is definable at 17 percent, but wider than Bitcoin's roughly nine percent.

Bar chart: 90-day price change of the largest crypto assets, Ethereum highlighted
Ethereum compared with the other large crypto assets over 90 days

Then there is the path upward. Reaching the 200-day average requires 18 percent, reaching the twelve-month high roughly 155 percent. And the recovery of recent weeks happened on falling volume, which limits how much weight it can carry.

The structural caveat remains value capture. A network can gain in importance while its token earns little from that growth. For Ethereum this possibility is real and belongs in any honest assessment.

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How to buy Ethereum at current prices

With Ethereum a second question joins the cost question, one that does not arise with Bitcoin in the same way: staking. Holders can commit their coins to securing the network through many providers and receive a reward for it. Whether this is offered, on what terms and with which lock-up period differs considerably between platforms.

The cost side follows the same logic as any crypto purchase: trading fee, spread and withdrawal fee together determine the entry price. An overview of venues ranked by cost, regulation and custody is available in our crypto exchange comparison.

For the European market, providers licensed under the European markets in crypto-assets regulation are the relevant candidates; the supervisor lists them in the public register of the European Securities and Markets Authority. Which ones qualify is set out in our comparison of regulated crypto exchanges. Our detailed assessment of one such provider, including scores for cost, usability and support, is in the Bitvavo review.

So is Ethereum a good buy at current prices?

For a short-term entry the conditions are absent. The dominant trend points down, the RSI provides no contrarian case, and the recovery of recent weeks is not supported by volume.

For a long-term build-up the situation is defensible but more demanding than with Bitcoin. The price is low, support sits 17 percent below, and the structural question of value capture is open. Buying Ethereum means betting on network usage, not on a fixed supply mechanism.

A smaller position size than for Bitcoin therefore seems appropriate to us, spread across several purchases, with a clearly defined point at which the assumption counts as refuted. The June low at $1,566 lends itself to being that point.

What to take away

  1. Measure the recovery by volume, not by price. Ethereum trades above its 50-day average, yet trading volume fell by more than 20 percent over the same period. Only rising volume turns a counter-move into a trend. The longer-term scenarios with disclosed weightings are in our Ethereum price prediction.
  2. Size the position smaller than your Bitcoin position. Higher beta delivers more in recoveries and more in downturns. Anyone accounting for both buys in tranches rather than all at once.
  3. Settle the staking terms before you buy, not after. Rewards, lock-up periods and custody differ markedly between platforms and affect the outcome over years more than the entry price does. The terms of the venues are set out in our exchange comparison.

Disclosure: Some of the providers mentioned in this article work with us through partner programmes. This has no bearing on the price analysis or the assessment of the chart; the price data comes from a public market data source and can be verified there.

(As of 11 August 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices, fees and terms change; check them with the provider before every purchase. Crypto assets are subject to high volatility and a total loss is possible.)

Transparency note: This article was produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by our editorial team before publication. All figures and claims were checked against the primary sources linked in the text. The feature image was generated with AI.

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