Bitcoin week ahead: the key dates from November 16 to 22

Bitcoin enters the week of November 16 to 22, 2026, at a three-month low. On Saturday evening, the largest cryptocurrency cost around $64,500 according to CoinGecko, its lowest since mid-August, and the Fear and Greed Index stood at 13 points. At around 7:40 a.m. CET on Sunday, Bitcoin trades at around $64,400 according to CoinGecko, or €58,400. Over the next five trading days, three events that can move the price come together: Nvidia's quarterly results on Tuesday evening, the US Federal Reserve's minutes on Wednesday and options expiry on Friday. On Thursday there is also the Anthropic IPO, which ties up investors' money.

This week-ahead piece collects every date with its time in CET, each taken from the source that sets it, and explains which levels in the Bitcoin price will matter afterwards. How the editorial team sees Bitcoin over a horizon of months is set out in our Bitcoin price prediction.

Bitcoin week ahead: the key points

• Tuesday, November 17, 10:20 p.m.: Nvidia reports results for its third fiscal quarter, followed by the conference call at 11 p.m.
• Wednesday, November 18, 8 p.m.: The Fed publishes the minutes of its October 27–28 meeting, at which two members voted for a rate hike.
• Thursday, November 19: Anthropic shares start trading on Nasdaq; the retail subscription in Germany closes on Wednesday at 4 p.m.
• Friday, November 20, 9 a.m.: Bitcoin options on around 28,300 BTC expire on Deribit, with max pain at $73,000.
• ETF flows: The US spot Bitcoin ETFs lost a net $1.07 billion in the week to November 13, seven trading days of outflows in a row.
• Levels: The 200-week moving average sits at around $67,800, the twelve-month low at $58,570 from July 1, 2026.

Bitcoin after the three-month low: where things stand before the week

The decline came over two weeks. On November 1, Bitcoin stood at around $77,500 at the UTC day change, on November 7 at $75,800, on November 13 at $71,400 and on November 14 at $68,300, each according to the daily data from CoinGecko. On Saturday the price then fell by a further 5 percent or so. That leaves it a good $10,000 below the 200-day average of around $75,900 and the 50-day average of around $77,600, both calculated from CoinMarketCap daily closes, as in the chart below.

On Saturday, Bitcoin also fell below the 200-week moving average at just under $67,800, a level that often acted as a floor in earlier cycles. What that means for the bigger picture is explained in our article on the break of the 200-week moving average. Sentiment matches the price: the Fear and Greed Index fell from 32 on November 10 to 13 on Saturday. How Bitcoin performed in earlier phases with fear readings this low is shown in our analysis of past panic phases.

Bitcoin dates from November 16 to 22: the calendar for the week

All times are CET. The US dates come from the calendars of the Federal Reserve, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the US Census Bureau, the Nvidia date from Nvidia's announcement of October 28.

Nvidia results on Tuesday: the test for the AI trade

On Tuesday, November 17, Nvidia reports results for the third quarter of its 2027 fiscal year, which ended on October 25. The figures are due at around 10:20 p.m. CET; shortly afterwards, chief financial officer Colette Kress posts a written commentary, and the conference call starts at 11 p.m. This matters for Bitcoin because the reaction falls at a time when only after-hours trading is running in New York. Cryptocurrencies, by contrast, trade around the clock and absorb a surprise immediately.

If you hold both Bitcoin and tech stocks, keep an eye on that evening. A strong outlook from Nvidia would signal that investors are willing to take on risk again. If the company disappoints, every asset that depends on risk appetite takes the hit that same night.

Fed minutes on Wednesday: how close is a rate hike?

In the editorial team's view, Wednesday evening is the most important date of the week for Bitcoin. At 8 p.m., the Fed publishes the minutes of its October 27–28 meeting. At that meeting it held the policy rate in the 3.75 to 4 percent range after the hike of September 16, but not unanimously: according to the statement of October 28, Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack voted for a quarter-point increase. The Fed said inflation remained elevated.

The data since then have not eased the concern. According to the BLS, consumer prices rose by 0.4 percent month on month in October, and by 0.3 percent excluding energy and food. The agency did not publish an annual rate for October because comparison data for October 2025 are missing. The minutes will show how many other members were already considering a hike. The more there are, the higher the chance that the Fed raises rates at its next meeting on December 8 and 9. That would be a headwind for Bitcoin, because higher rates make safe assets more attractive.

Options expiry on Friday: 28,300 BTC and the max pain point

On Friday, November 20, at 9 a.m. CET, Bitcoin options on around 28,300 BTC expire on the Deribit options exchange. According to public data from Deribit as of Saturday evening, around 18,100 BTC of that are call options and 10,200 BTC put options, a put/call ratio of 0.56. The notional value is around $1.8 billion.

The max pain point for this expiry is $73,000. At that price, option buyers as a whole would lose the most. Most open calls sit at $73,000 and $76,000, the largest group of puts at $70,000. Because Bitcoin is trading far below these levels, many calls will expire worthless. That does not point to a price direction, but the expiry can add volatility around the date.

The bigger date follows a week later: on November 27, the monthly options expire, on around 88,000 BTC with a notional value of $5.7 billion as of Saturday. A large block of puts at $58,000 stands out there, just below the twelve-month low.

Bitcoin ETFs: seven straight days of outflows

The biggest drag since early November has come from the US spot ETFs. In the week of November 9 to 13, net outflows came to $1.07 billion according to Farside Investors, $908 million of it from the largest fund, BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT). The week before, the figure was $1.28 billion. Together, the funds have lost around $2.35 billion in two weeks.

The next figures arrive on Monday evening after the close in New York. A first day of inflows would be the most important good news of the week, because as long as the funds are selling, the largest buyer of the past two years is missing. How the outflow streak at IBIT came about is covered in our Bitcoin price prediction on the IBIT outflow streak, and the reasons for the pullback across the market are collected in our overview Why is crypto down.

Bitcoin price prediction for the week: the levels that count

The editorial team does not issue a seven-day price forecast. The data do, however, show the levels at which the week will be decided:

What would support a rebound: a first day of ETF inflows, Fed minutes with few backers of a hike and a strong outlook from Nvidia. Sentiment also plays a part: in earlier phases, a Fear and Greed reading of 13 was more often a sign of an imminent rebound than of further losses, although the final low often came only weeks later.

What would argue against it: further outflows on the scale of recent weeks, minutes that point to a hike in December and an Anthropic IPO that pulls money out of other risk assets. If Bitcoin falls below the twelve-month low of $58,570, there is no further level from this year to lean on.

If you want to buy now or add to a position, you can find providers and their fees in our buy Bitcoin comparison. If a MiCA licence matters to you, take a look at our overview of regulated crypto exchanges.

Anthropic IPO and GTA 6: the other dates of the week

Two more dates are on the calendar. The subscription period for Anthropic shares in Germany ends on Wednesday, November 18, at 4 p.m.; on Thursday the stock starts trading on Nasdaq under the ticker ANT. All the ways to subscribe are covered in our article on the Anthropic IPO. GTA 6 is released on the same Thursday, which gives Take-Two stock a key date of its own.

Our view: Wednesday evening will decide Bitcoin's week

In the editorial team's view, the week hinges less on Nvidia than on the Fed. After the hike in September and two votes for a further move in October, the question is not about cuts but whether the Fed will raise rates once more in December. Wednesday's minutes are the first chance to see that in figures. If they come out clearly hawkish, the ETF outflows are likely to continue, and then the $58,570 level comes into focus. If it stays at two votes, Bitcoin, after sliding around 17 percent since the start of the month, has room for a rebound up to the 200-week moving average.

(As of November 15, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)