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Iowa Election Results 2026: Josh Turek Wins the Senate Race, Rob Sand Takes the Governor's Office

Democrats win both top races in Iowa, a state Trump carried in 2024. How far the counties moved since 2024, who Josh Turek and Rob Sand are and which crypto and AI committees spent against Turek.

The Iowa State Capitol in Des Moines with its gold dome and green side domes under a blue sky
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NBC News, based on AP data, projects Josh Turek as the winner of the Iowa Senate race against Ashley Hinson. At 08:17 CET the count stood at 50.4 to 46.5 percent with 97.2 percent counted. It is the first Democratic Senate win in Iowa since 2008. The seat is open because Republican Joni Ernst is not seeking a third term. Josh Turek, a Democratic state representative, ran against Ashley Hinson, a Republican US representative endorsed by President Donald Trump. Iowa also elected a governor, and it is the first time since 1968 that an open Senate seat and an open governor's office were on the ballot together.

Iowa Senate race: the key facts

  • Status (08:17 CET): Turek 678,922 votes (50.4 percent), Hinson 625,618 (46.5 percent), 97.2 percent counted.
  • Governor: NBC News projects Rob Sand as the winner over Zach Lahn, 55.4 to 44.6 percent with 98 percent counted.
  • 2024: Donald Trump won Iowa in 2024 with 927,019 votes to 707,278 for Kamala Harris, a margin of 13.2 points.
  • Crypto and AI money: $868,000 from two committees, spent against Turek and for Hinson, according to Tech Influence Watch.
  • Prediction market: the race is called; see Polymarket for the settled market.

Iowa election results: read the count with care

Iowa's polls closed at 03:00 CET. We estimate about 26,000 votes are still out, most of them in Dallas, Lee, Madison. With the race called, the remaining votes only change the final margin.

Bar chart of the Iowa counties with the most estimated votes still out and the margin so far
Source: AP via NBC News, own estimate

Iowa 2024 vs 2026: where the counties moved

Polk County, home to Des Moines, went from D+10.8 in the 2024 presidential race to D+26.7 now, with 95 percent counted. Linn County, around Cedar Rapids, went from D+9.9 in the 2024 presidential race to D+23.9 now, with 95 percent counted. Scott County, around Davenport, went from R+3.9 in the 2024 presidential race to D+12.2 now, with 99 percent counted. Johnson County, home to Iowa City, went from D+37.8 in the 2024 presidential race to D+52.5 now, with 95 percent counted. Across the larger areas with at least half of the count in, the margin moved 16.3 points toward Democrats on average. These figures compare a partial Senate count with a full presidential count, so the final swing can still change. Trump voters who stayed home and Republicans who split their ticket look the same in this table.

CountyTrump vs Harris 2024Hinson vs Turek 2026Counted
PolkD+10.8D+26.795 %
LinnD+9.9D+23.995 %
JohnsonD+37.8D+52.595 %
ScottR+3.9D+12.299 %
Black HawkD+1.2D+18.695 %
DallasR+4.7D+7.472 %
DubuqueR+8.6D+5.395 %
StoryD+10.3D+28.299 %
Dumbbell chart of the largest Iowa counties comparing the margin in the 2024 presidential race and the 2026 Senate race
Source: AP via NBC News, 2024 results via NBC News

Who are Josh Turek and Ashley Hinson?

Turek has been a state representative from the 20th district since 2023. In June he won the Democratic nomination with about 63 percent over state senator Zach Wahls, according to Wikipedia's race summary. Hinson has represented Iowa's 2nd congressional district since 2021 and won the Republican nomination with about 74 percent over former state senator Jim Carlin. Thomas Laehn is on the ballot for the Libertarian Party. Cost of living, tariffs, health-care costs and AI data centers were among the contested issues: Turek has called for regulating data centers, while Hinson favors AI development.

Iowa governor's race: Rob Sand vs Zach Lahn

Republican Kim Reynolds is not running for a third term. Rob Sand, the Democratic state auditor, faced Zach Lahn, a Republican businessman who won his primary in an upset over Representative Randy Feenstra, whom Trump had endorsed. Before this race, Democrats had last won the governor's office in Iowa in 2006.

Iowa and crypto: where the committee money went

Most crypto and AI committee money was aimed at the Senate race. Tech Influence Watch, the tracker formerly known as Follow the Crypto, lists $491,234 spent against Turek and $376,836 spent for Hinson by two committees: Digital Freedom Fund, a crypto committee, and Alliance for a Better Future, an AI committee. Digital Freedom Fund accounts for $697,124 of the total. Hinson also drew $142,750 in direct support from Coinbase, Andreessen Horowitz, Winklevoss Capital Management and seven other companies or their executives.

The advocacy group Stand With Crypto scores Turek 100 and Hinson 99, so both candidates sit near the top of its scale, yet the committee money went against Turek. For the next attempt at a market structure law, the Iowa seat counts: the Senate did not take up the CLARITY Act on 15 September, as the vote to begin debate failed 49 to 50, with no Democrat voting yes, and it needed 60 votes. Whoever takes the Iowa seat votes on the next attempt. Where the bill stands is in our CLARITY Act explainer.

What Iowa means for the Senate

Republicans went into the night with 53 seats, so Democrats needed a net gain of four for the majority, and Iowa's open seat was one of the Republican 53. NBC News projects Democrats to control the Senate, with 53 seats for Democrats and 43 for Republicans at 08:17 CET. With the majority decided, the races still open decide the size of the margin, not who controls the chamber. All calls and the full Senate table are in our midterm results live ticker. More from the states: Kansas, Nebraska and the $13.5 million against Dan Osborn and Michigan and its crypto ETF stake.

What Polymarket says about Iowa

With the race called, the prediction market has little left to price. The open question for traders is the balance of power in Washington. If you hold coins through a week like this, compare regulated crypto exchanges and crypto brokers first. This article is not investment advice.

FAQ: Iowa election results 2026

Transparency note: This article was produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and reviewed by our editorial team before publication. All figures and claims were checked against the primary sources linked in the text. The feature image was generated with AI.

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