Shiba Inu price prediction: 1,005 Shibarium transactions today, targets up to $0.0000399

The Shiba Inu price prediction hangs on a figure almost nobody looks up: Shibarium, the project's own blockchain, has processed 612,814,563 transactions since launch. On this Friday, 1,005 of them were added. Anyone who wants to know whether the price targets between $0.00002 and $0.0000399 will hold has to start with that daily activity and not with the daily price. Shiba Inu traded at $0.00000585 on Friday evening, the equivalent of €0.0000052, a gain of 1.9 percent within 24 hours and of 13.1 percent over 30 days. Over twelve months it is down 53.3 percent.

This article works out what the stated price targets mean in terms of market capitalisation, what the Shibarium data say about them, and which three checks an investor in Germany can carry out today. Two of those concern the tax office and have nothing to do with the price chart.

Shibarium counts 612.8 million transactions, 1,005 of them on this Friday

Shibarium is a layer-2 blockchain, a separate network that settles transactions more cheaply and anchors the result on Ethereum. For the Shiba Inu price prediction it is the pivot, because the automatic token burns run through it and because usage there is the only tangible evidence of demand beyond trading on exchanges.

The network's block explorer shows 10,508,210 blocks on Friday, 612,814,563 transactions in total and 248,430,250 addresses. Those figures can be looked up at any time on Shibariumscan. The value that matters, however, sits somewhat hidden: transactions on the current day, 1,005 of them. That is 0.00016 percent of all the operations ever processed on this chain.

The cumulative figure impresses, the daily figure places it in context. 612 million transactions do not arise in a month; they are the result of three years, and a considerable part of them fell in the early phase, when automated test runs flooded the chain. Anyone resting the prediction on adoption needs today's movement, not yesterday's total.

For a comparison within the network itself: 612.8 million transactions go with 248.4 million addresses, which is around 0.41 addresses per transaction. A ratio of that order arises when a great many addresses trigger very few operations. That fits a chain which was once tried out widely and has rarely been used since.

The capital locked on Shibarium stands at $56,677

The second hard figure is total value locked, or TVL. It measures how much capital is tied up in a blockchain's applications, in trading venues or lending protocols for instance. It is not a perfect yardstick, but it shows whether anyone is prepared to leave money sitting in a network.

Our own query of the DefiLlama database on October 2 returns $56,677 for Shibarium. The peak was $6,437,163 on December 8, 2024. That is a fall of 99.1 percent. Over the past two weeks the daily reading fluctuated between $53,510 on September 21 and $142,861 on September 26, so there are individual days with considerably higher values. The range is stated here deliberately, because a smoothed single value is misleading at sums this small.

What counts is the order of magnitude. $56,677 of locked capital stands against a token market capitalisation of $3.45 billion. For every transaction on the current day there is, arithmetically, $56 of locked capital. That is the basis on which every prediction arguing from Shibarium growth is built.

589.24 trillion SHIB in circulation: what the supply does to the prediction

SHIB has 589,238,865,672,620 tokens in circulation, a good 589 trillion. That quantity is the reason for the many zeros in the price, and it is at the same time the reason why percentage price targets for SHIB have to be read differently from those for Bitcoin or Ethereum.

The burns that are regularly reported change little about this. Even a day with several hundred million tokens burned removes less than one ten-thousandth of a percent of the circulating supply. Our own piece of October 1 on the triangle apex of October 4 looked at the chart side; the quantity side remains untouched by it. Anyone reading the burn record as a driver of a prediction should therefore always set it against the circulating supply and not against daily turnover.

In practical terms that means: €1,000 deployed corresponds at the current price to around 192.3 million SHIB. A doubling of the price presupposes that the market is prepared to pay twice the sum for the same quantity, and with 589 trillion tokens that sum is large in absolute terms.

The Finder panel price targets stand at $0.00002 and $0.0000399

Price targets are opinions and not facts, which is why they belong in quotation with a name and a date. The best-known regular survey on SHIB comes from the comparison portal Finder, which polls specialists from the crypto industry and publishes the averages.

One round with 26 respondents arrived at an average of around $0.0000399, justified by accelerated burns, Shibarium growth and spreading adoption. A more recent panel from January 2026 with 19 respondents, by contrast, names $0.00002 for the end of 2026. The two values lie a factor of two apart, and both come from the same house. That range is the more honest picture than a single average, and it shows how far the assessments have travelled within a year.

Set against those expectations is the finding from the first two sections. Neither justification, burning or Shibarium growth, can currently be read off the daily data. That does not refute the targets, because a network can pick up again. It does shift the burden of proof: anyone betting on $0.0000399 today is betting that usage will come back, not that it is already here.

$0.0000399 corresponds to $23.5 billion in market capitalisation

Price targets with many zeros are hard to place. Market capitalisation makes them tangible, and the calculation is simple: circulating supply times price.

• $0.00000585, the price on this Friday, gives $3.45 billion.
• $0.00002 gives $11.78 billion, 3.4 times today's level.
• $0.0000399 gives $23.51 billion, 6.8 times today's level.
• $0.00008616, the all-time high of October 27, 2021, would give $50.77 billion.
• $0.0001, the much-quoted deletion of a further zero, would give $58.92 billion.

These figures only make sense in comparison. Dogecoin comes to $14.8 billion on the same Friday, Solana to $70.3 billion. The target of $0.0000399 therefore requires SHIB to become considerably larger than Dogecoin is today and to reach roughly a third of Solana. That is possible, but it is a different statement from the familiar formulation that the price need only move a few places forward.

Levels for the coming days: $0.00000571 below, $0.00000597 above

Within the past 24 hours SHIB moved between $0.00000571 and $0.00000597, on trading volume of around $110 million. That is a range of a good 4.5 percent, a quiet session for a meme coin.

On the downside the day's low of $0.00000571 is the first level whose breach would call the rise of the past 30 days into question. The reason lies not in chart technique alone but in the volume: $110 million of daily turnover against $3.45 billion of market capitalisation means that around 3.2 percent of the capitalisation changes hands in a day. At that turnover rate, comparatively small waves of selling suffice to leave the range.

On the upside the day's high of $0.00000597 is the next hurdle, and behind it the round level of $0.00000600. A breakout above it would not in itself be evidence for the stated price targets, because a factor of three to $0.00002 would still be missing afterwards.

The one-year holding period under section 23 of the Income Tax Act: twelve months separate tax-free from taxable

Here the article leaves the price, because this is where the action lies that an investor in Germany can actually take today. Gains from the sale of crypto assets count as a private disposal under section 23 of the German Income Tax Act. Anyone who holds a coin for longer than twelve months and then sells pays no income tax on the gain, whatever its size.

The gain of 13.1 percent over 30 days is precisely the case in which this deadline counts. Anyone who bought in September and sells now is inside the one-year period and is liable to tax on the gain. Anyone holding the same position since autumn 2025 is not. The period runs separately for each purchase, not for the portfolio as a whole.

The concrete step for this: pull the transaction list with purchase date and quantity from your exchange and mark every position bought before today's date in the previous year. Those positions are tax-free on sale. This can be kept cleanly with a portfolio tracker with a tax function that carries the holding periods for each tranche. With 192 million tokens from a €1,000 purchase, a list kept by hand is no realistic solution.

The €1,000 exemption threshold tips over at one euro above it

For sales within the one-year period an exemption threshold of €1,000 per calendar year applies. It has stood at that amount since the 2024 tax year; before that it was €600. The important word is threshold: this is not an allowance that remains in place.

The difference is expensive. On a gain of €999 from all private disposals in a year, no tax is due. On €1,001 the full amount of €1,001 is charged at the personal income tax rate. A single euro therefore decides the taxation of the whole sum.

The threshold applies to all private disposals of a year taken together, not only to crypto assets. Anyone who also sold gold or a collection within the speculation period in the same year counts those gains in. With €1,000 deployed and the gain of the past 30 days, the arithmetical profit would be around €131, so clearly below the threshold. Anyone working with larger sums checks where they stand in the current year before selling.

Buying SHIB under MiCA: the BaFin register names the authorised providers

Since the European crypto regulation MiCA, providers that trade or hold crypto assets for retail clients in Germany need authorisation as a crypto asset service provider. BaFin maintains a public register for this, and a look inside takes two minutes.

For you that means in practice: before you test a platform with a deposit, you search for the company name in the supervisor's company register. If you do not find it, you lack a point of contact in Germany in the event of a dispute. That holds regardless of whether the platform looks reputable and how cheap its fees are.

The second point is cost. With a token carrying eight decimal places, the trading spread between the buy and sell price weighs more heavily than with large assets, because it works in percentage terms on a very small price. Compare the spread before buying, not just the order fee that is stated.

Custody: SHIB is an ERC-20 token on Ethereum, not on Shibarium

A widespread misunderstanding concerns custody. SHIB is an ERC-20 token and normally sits on the Ethereum blockchain. Shibarium is an additional chain to which tokens have to be transferred over a bridge. Anyone holding SHIB in a wallet is, as a rule, holding the Ethereum variant.

That is relevant given the current situation. A bridge to a chain on which $56,677 is locked is thinly populated. Anyone sending tokens across should know that the way back depends on the liquidity on the other side, and that the bridge carries an additional technical risk which does not arise when holding on Ethereum.

For larger holdings the usual rule applies: what you do not want to trade in the coming weeks does not belong on the exchange. A hardware wallet separates the key from the internet, and SHIB is supported as an ERC-20 token by every common device.

Shiba Inu price prediction: How to proceed now

1. Check the holding period for each tranche. Download the transaction list from your exchange and mark every position older than twelve months. Those gains are tax-free under section 23 of the Income Tax Act; all younger ones are not. Which tools carry this for each tranche is shown in the comparison of tax tools and portfolio trackers.
2. Reconcile the trading spread and the provider's authorisation. Check your platform's name in the BaFin register and compare the spread between the buy and sell price, not just the order fee. An overview of the terms is given in the comparison of crypto exchanges.
3. Take holdings off the exchange if you are leaving them there. SHIB sits as an ERC-20 token on Ethereum and is supported by every common device. Which models cost what and how they differ is set out in the hardware wallet comparison.

And on the prediction itself: the stated price targets are derived in a way that can be followed, but they presuppose a return of network usage which this Friday's daily data do not show. The figure from which you can read that without outside help is the transaction count for the current day in the block explorer. If it climbs markedly over weeks, the prediction gains a basis. If it stays in four digits, it remains an expectation.

(As of October 2, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)