Is XRP About to Rally? Two Major Catalysts Just Lined Up

XRP price has entered a pivotal moment where legal clarity and improving global market sentiment could set the stage for its next big move. Ripple Labs’ long-standing battle with the US Securities and Exchange Commission has officially ended, removing a cloud of uncertainty that has hung over the token for years. At the same time, the extension of the US-China trade truce has eased macroeconomic tensions, giving risk assets room to breathe. With these twin catalysts in play, XRP’s price action is now in focus as traders look for signs of a breakout on the charts.

XRP Price Prediction: Ripple Ends SEC Battle After Years of Uncertainty

Just a few days ago, in a landmark development for the cryptocurrency industry, Ripple Labs and the US Securities and Exchange Commission have officially ended their legal battle. Both sides agreed to drop their appeals in the Second Circuit, solidifying Judge Analisa Torres’s July 2023 ruling as the final decision. This conclusion removes a persistent overhang on XRP’s price and regulatory standing in the US. For institutional investors, the elimination of legal ambiguity could open the door for larger-scale adoption and potential exchange relistings in markets that were previously hesitant.

US-China Trade Truce Boosts Macro Sentiment

According to BBC, US President Donald Trump signed an executive order extending the existing tariff pause on Chinese goods for another 90 days, with Beijing responding in kind. 

The truce keeps tariffs capped at 30% for US imports from China and 10% for Chinese imports from the US, avoiding a damaging escalation that could have rattled investor confidence. Historically, easing trade tensions has supported risk-on sentiment in equities and digital assets alike. For XRP, this calmer macro backdrop could help reinforce buying pressure at a time when it already has a fresh bullish catalyst from its legal victory.

Current Technical Structure on the Daily Chart

The daily chart shows XRP consolidating around the $3.14 mark, sitting close to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands. The $3.10 level is emerging as a key short-term support zone. Above it, the upper Bollinger Band near $3.34 aligns with immediate resistance. A breakout above $3.35 on strong volume could pave the way toward the $3.80 to $4.00 region, where historical price reactions and Fibonacci extension levels converge.

Recent Heikin Ashi candles indicate waning selling pressure after the late-July correction, suggesting that the bearish momentum is losing strength. Meanwhile, the lower Bollinger Band at $2.86 provides a safety net for buyers. A decisive close below this level would shift short-term momentum bearish, potentially driving a retest of $2.50.

XRP Price Prediction: Potential Scenarios for the Coming Weeks

If macro sentiment remains stable and the crypto market sees renewed inflows, XRP could mount a steady climb toward $4.00 within the next few weeks. Clearing that zone would set the stage for an advance toward $4.50 and possibly the $5.00 mark over the medium term. Such a move would likely require both strong Bitcoin performance and continued investor enthusiasm around Ripple’s strengthened legal position.

Conversely, if buying momentum fades and XRP fails to break above $3.35, the price could drift sideways or slip back toward the $2.80–$2.90 support zone. Any breakdown there would risk accelerating losses, though the current combination of news catalysts makes that scenario less probable in the near term.

Outlook and Key Takeaway

Ripple’s legal victory removes one of the most significant headwinds in its history, while the extended US-China trade truce bolsters the broader market mood. Technically, XRP is positioned at a pivot point where breaking short-term resistance could trigger a larger upside move. As long as $3.10 holds as a base, the path of least resistance appears to be upward, with the potential for a test of the $4.00 region before the end of this quarter.

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