Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction After The Recent BTC Price Drop

Bitcoin's price has plummeted below $64,000, driven by multiple factors. What are these key elements affecting the cryptocurrency market and what do they mean for investors?

Rudy Fares

Rudy Fares

June 21, 2024 12:17 PM

BTC Price Prediction and Analysis

Bitcoin's price has seen a notable decline, falling below $64,000. Several factors have contributed to this downturn, impacting the broader cryptocurrency market. Let's delve into the main reasons behind Bitcoin's current price struggles and what they mean for investors.

By TradingView - BTC Performance

Bitcoin Price Drop Analysis

Bitcoin has experienced a persistent drop in price over the past week. Despite an attempt to reach $66,000, sellers quickly reestablished their positions, leading to a significant price dip. As of now, Bitcoin trades below $64,000, with the broader cryptocurrency market also feeling the pressure.

By TradingView - BTCUSD_2024-06-21 (LIVE)

The past 24 hours saw around $150 million worth of liquidations, with a majority of long positions being wiped out. This price drop is in line with a simultaneous decline in the stock market, where leading stocks like NVDA, AAPL, and MSFT have also seen decreases.

Key Factors to the Price Drop

  • Trader Fatigue and Fear: One major factor is trader fatigue, which has reached record levels. Analysts report that the market sentiment is largely fearful or disinterested at the current price range. This extended level of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) often precedes a bounce, rewarding patient investors. However, the retail crowd is still largely absent, adding to the stagnation.
  • ETF Outflows: Another significant factor is the substantial outflows from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). In the past week, spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US saw a total of $900 million in outflows. Notably, on June 20, Nasdaq-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a massive net outflow of $139.9 million, marking the fifth consecutive day of net outflows. Funds like Grayscale’s GBT and Fidelity’s FBTC led these outflows, significantly impacting Bitcoin’s price.
By TradingView - BTCUSD_2024-06-21 (5D)

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Will BTC Price Go Back Up?

Analysts have suggested some new all-time highs for Bitcoin in the few upcoming months. The new target prices suggested before could even be unexpected as much as double the current circulating price or more. But how likely is it to occur, and when, especially amid these additional factors that are yet to be considered. 

By TradingView - BTCUSD_2024-06-21 (YTD)
  • Market Dynamics Post-Halving: Bitcoin is also adjusting to the recent halving event, which reduced the reward miners receive for maintaining the blockchain. This supply shock typically takes months to manifest in the market, leading to subdued trading. Analysts expect that demand from ETFs in the US could significantly influence Bitcoin's price in the coming months, and surpassing back the $70,000 and even reaching new highs.
  • Mt. Gox Repayments: The impending repayment of 142,000 Bitcoin from the collapsed Mt. Gox exchange looms over the market. While a mass redemption event is unlikely, concerns about these repayments constrain liquidity as market players hold back from deploying new capital amid the uncertainty.
  • Miner Selling: Bitcoin miners have been offloading their reserves, adding to the downward pressure. Since the beginning of the year, miners have sold approximately $300 million worth of Bitcoin. Marathon Digital, a leading US miner, has sold over $92 million in June alone, further impacting the market.

Bitcoin's recent price decline below $64,000 is the result of multiple factors, including trader fatigue, significant ETF outflows, market adjustments post-halving, and strategic sales by miners. While these elements contribute to the current downturn, the market’s inherent volatility suggests potential for future rebounds as conditions stabilize.

Rudy Fares
Article By

Rudy Fares

Equity Trader, Financial Consultant, Musician and Blockchain Aficionado. I spend my time doing Technical and Fundamental Analyses for Stocks, Currencies, Commodities and Cryptocurrencies.

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